Wed, Oct 8 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 0.91) 0.05 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.6% 33.6% 1.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
34.8%
0 - 0
31.8%
2 - 0
19.1%
Score & goals probability table
Emelec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leones del Norte 0 31.8% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.8% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeones del NorteEmelec
Played21
Form100%100%
Attack23%9%
Defense100%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.52 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 01 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leones del Norte Emelec
HATHAT
Played112011
Wins100%100%100%—100%100%
Draws0%0%0%—0%0%
Loses0%0%0%—0%0%

Form: Leones del Norte: WW • Emelec: W

League goals

Metric Leones del Norte Emelec
HATHAT
GF total145022
GF avg1.04.02.50.02.02.0
GA total000011
GA avg0.00.00.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeones del NorteEmelec
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.550%0%100%0%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.550%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeones del NorteEmelec
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricLeones del NorteEmelec
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLeones del NorteEmelec
Wins21
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-4—1-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For1402
Goals Against0001

Model comparison

MetricLeones del NorteEmelec
Form67%33%
Att71%29%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Double chance : Leones del Norte or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ 10Bet
Draw3.25 @ 10Bet
Away2.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leones del Norte = 1.10 (league 0.91), Emelec = 0.05 (league 1.30)

Emelec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leones del Norte 0 31.8% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.8% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.6% · Draw 33.6% · Away win 1.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1