Friendlies — World
Fri, Nov 14 2025 • 00:30 • BMO Field
Match Finished
0 - 0
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.51) 0.92 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.0% 35.2% 39.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.6%
0 - 1
18.9%
1 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Ecuador
0 1 2 3 4 5
Canada 0 20.6% 18.9% 8.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.6% 12.5% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCanadaEcuador
Played52
Form47%33%
Attack100%50%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Canada Ecuador
HATHAT
Played426022
Wins25%100%50%—0%0%
Draws25%0%17%—100%100%
Loses50%0%33%—0%0%

Form: Canada: WLWWLD • Ecuador: DD

League goals

Metric Canada Ecuador
HATHAT
GF total448022
GF avg1.02.01.30.01.01.0
GA total404022
GA avg1.00.00.70.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCanadaEcuador
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%100%100%
1.533%17%0%0%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCanadaEcuador
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score303000

Penalties

MetricCanadaEcuador
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCanadaEcuador
Wins20
Draws02
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-3——
Biggest losses0-1———
Goals For4301
Goals Against2001

Model comparison

MetricCanadaEcuador
Form78%22%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total59.8%40.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Canada or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ 1xBet
Away2.69 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.80 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.76 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Canada = 0.66 (league 1.51), Ecuador = 0.92 (league 1.09)

Ecuador
0 1 2 3 4 5
Canada 0 20.6% 18.9% 8.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.6% 12.5% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.0% · Draw 35.2% · Away win 39.8%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1