Friendlies — World
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 22:00 • Subaru Park
Second Half

USA

2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.51) 1.28 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.3% 21.7% 24.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Paraguay
0 1 2 3 4 5
USA 0 3.8% 4.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.5% 9.7% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.6% 6.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.0% 6.4% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.5% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUSAParaguay
Played52
Form47%17%
Attack38%15%
Defense38%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric USA Paraguay
HATHAT
Played808022
Wins50%—50%—0%0%
Draws13%—13%—50%50%
Loses38%—38%—50%50%

Form: USA: WWLLLWDW • Paraguay: DL

League goals

Metric USA Paraguay
HATHAT
GF total12012022
GF avg1.50.01.50.01.01.0
GA total11011044
GA avg1.40.01.40.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUSAParaguay
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%50%100%
1.550%38%50%100%
2.525%13%0%0%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUSAParaguay
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score202011

Penalties

MetricUSAParaguay
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUSAParaguay
Wins20
Draws11
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0———
Biggest losses0-4——2-0
Goals For3002
Goals Against4002

Model comparison

MetricUSAParaguay
Form88%13%
Att71%29%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total63.8%36.5%

Advice: Double chance : USA or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away3.10 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.81 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): USA = 1.99 (league 1.51), Paraguay = 1.28 (league 1.09)

Paraguay
0 1 2 3 4 5
USA 0 3.8% 4.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.5% 9.7% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.6% 6.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.0% 6.4% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.5% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.3% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 24.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1