Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:00 •
KMC Stadium
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.50)
0.25 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.0% | 60.5% | 16.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
55.8%
1 - 0
18.6%
0 - 1
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Mbeya City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| KMC | 0 | 55.8% | 13.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | KMC | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 44% |
| Attack | 11% | 11% |
| Defense | 78% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
32%
FT probability
2.5+
23%
FT probability
3.5+
16%
FT probability
BTTS
41%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | KMC | Mbeya City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 50% | 33% |
Form: KMC: WLL • Mbeya City: WLD
League goals
| Metric | KMC | Mbeya City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | KMC | Mbeya City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 67% | 33% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | KMC | Mbeya City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | KMC | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | KMC | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | KMC | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 54.5% | 45.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : KMC or draw and -2.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): KMC = 0.33 (league 1.50), Mbeya City = 0.25 (league 1.00)
| Mbeya City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| KMC | 0 | 55.8% | 13.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.0% · Draw 60.5% · Away win 16.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1