Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 13:15 •
Lake Tanganyika Stadium
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.45)
0.41 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.7% | 49.3% | 22.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
40.8%
1 - 0
19.7%
0 - 1
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Mbeya City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mashujaa | 0 | 40.8% | 16.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.7% | 8.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mashujaa | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 23% | 46% |
| Defense | 77% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mashujaa | Mbeya City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Mashujaa: DWLLDW • Mbeya City: WLDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Mashujaa | Mbeya City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mashujaa | Mbeya City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 50% | 67% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 17% | 33% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mashujaa | Mbeya City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mashujaa | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mashujaa | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | — | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mashujaa | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 50.3% | 49.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Mashujaa or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mashujaa = 0.48 (league 1.45), Mbeya City = 0.41 (league 0.94)
| Mbeya City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mashujaa | 0 | 40.8% | 16.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.7% | 8.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.7% · Draw 49.3% · Away win 22.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1