Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 13:00 • KMC Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.21 (league 1.42) 0.56 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.6% 52.0% 36.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
46.3%
0 - 1
25.8%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Mtibwa Sugar
0 1 2 3 4 5
KMC 0 46.3% 25.8% 7.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.8% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKMCMtibwa Sugar
Played55
Form0%33%
Attack17%33%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

39%
FT probability

2.5+

28%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

40%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KMC Mtibwa Sugar
HATHAT
Played437235
Wins25%0%14%50%0%20%
Draws0%0%0%50%33%40%
Loses75%100%86%0%67%40%

Form: KMC: WLLLLLL • Mtibwa Sugar: LWDDL

League goals

Metric KMC Mtibwa Sugar
HATHAT
GF total112202
GF avg0.30.30.31.00.00.4
GA total5611033
GA avg1.32.01.60.01.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKMCMtibwa Sugar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.529%86%20%40%
1.50%29%20%20%
2.50%29%0%0%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKMCMtibwa Sugar
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score325134

Penalties

MetricKMCMtibwa Sugar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricKMCMtibwa Sugar
Wins11
Draws02
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-0—
Biggest losses0-34-1—2-0
Goals For1120
Goals Against3402

Model comparison

MetricKMCMtibwa Sugar
Form0%100%
Att33%67%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals67%33%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : KMC or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away4.40 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ Marathonbet
No1.57 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KMC = 0.21 (league 1.42), Mtibwa Sugar = 0.56 (league 0.93)

Mtibwa Sugar
0 1 2 3 4 5
KMC 0 46.3% 25.8% 7.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.8% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.6% · Draw 52.0% · Away win 36.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1