Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 13:00 •
Azam Complex Stadium
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.43)
0.23 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.3% | 31.5% | 7.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
28.9%
0 - 0
24.4%
2 - 0
17.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Mbeya City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mtibwa Sugar | 0 | 24.4% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.9% | 6.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.1% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 7% |
| Attack | 25% | 17% |
| Defense | 67% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
46%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Mbeya City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
| Draws | 33% | 67% | 56% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 22% | 50% | 67% | 60% |
Form: Mtibwa Sugar: LWDDLDWDD • Mbeya City: WLDWLDLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Mbeya City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mtibwa Sugar | Mbeya City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 44% | 40% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 11% | 20% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Mbeya City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | — | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 65.8% | 34.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Mtibwa Sugar or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mtibwa Sugar = 1.18 (league 1.43), Mbeya City = 0.23 (league 0.92)
| Mbeya City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mtibwa Sugar | 0 | 24.4% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.9% | 6.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.1% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.3% · Draw 31.5% · Away win 7.1%
vtt 2 , vtd2