Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 16:00 •
Mkwakwani Stadium
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.43)
0.26 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1% | 22.7% | 5.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.9%
2 - 0
19.9%
0 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
| KMC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Coastal Union | 0 | 15.5% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.9% | 6.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.9% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Coastal Union | KMC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 7% |
| Attack | 25% | 8% |
| Defense | 58% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Coastal Union | KMC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 22% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Draws | 20% | 50% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Loses | 40% | 50% | 44% | 60% | 100% | 78% |
Form: Coastal Union: WLLDDWDLL • KMC: WLLLLLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Coastal Union | KMC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Coastal Union | KMC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 56% | 22% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 33% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Coastal Union | KMC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Coastal Union | KMC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Coastal Union | KMC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Coastal Union | KMC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 63.8% | 36.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Coastal Union or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Coastal Union = 1.60 (league 1.43), KMC = 0.26 (league 0.92)
| KMC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Coastal Union | 0 | 15.5% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.9% | 6.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.9% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.1% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 5.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1