Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 13:00 • Lake Tanganyika Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.36) 0.06 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.5% 50.2% 3.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
48.1%
1 - 0
32.1%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Fountain Gate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mashujaa 0 48.1% 3.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 32.1% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMashujaaFountain Gate
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack25%25%
Defense58%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

41%
FT probability

2.5+

29%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

45%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mashujaa Fountain Gate
HATHAT
Played69157815
Wins50%11%27%43%13%27%
Draws50%22%33%14%25%20%
Loses0%67%40%43%63%53%

Form: Mashujaa: DWLLDWWDDLLLDLW • Fountain Gate: LLLWDWLWLLDDLLW

League goals

Metric Mashujaa Fountain Gate
HATHAT
GF total448527
GF avg0.70.40.50.70.30.5
GA total1141581018
GA avg0.21.61.01.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMashujaaFountain Gate
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%53%47%67%
1.57%20%0%33%
2.57%7%0%13%
3.50%7%0%7%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMashujaaFountain Gate
HATHAT
Clean sheets527325
Failed to score279268

Penalties

MetricMashujaaFountain Gate
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMashujaaFountain Gate
Wins21
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-31-00-1
Biggest losses—6-01-43-0
Goals For1311
Goals Against1643

Model comparison

MetricMashujaaFountain Gate
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mashujaa or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ 1xBet
Draw3.05 @ Marathonbet
Away5.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ William Hill
No1.47 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mashujaa = 0.67 (league 1.36), Fountain Gate = 0.06 (league 0.93)

Fountain Gate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mashujaa 0 48.1% 3.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 32.1% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.5% · Draw 50.2% · Away win 3.3%

vtt 4 , vtd1