Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 13:00 •
Sokoine Stadium
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.42)
0.13 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.1% | 44.1% | 5.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
39.9%
1 - 0
31.5%
2 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Fountain Gate | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mbeya City | 0 | 39.9% | 5.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 31.5% | 4.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mbeya City | Fountain Gate |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 13% |
| Attack | 42% | 17% |
| Defense | 42% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mbeya City | Fountain Gate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 0% | 38% | 21% | 43% | 0% | 21% |
| Draws | 67% | 0% | 29% | 14% | 29% | 21% |
| Loses | 33% | 63% | 50% | 43% | 71% | 57% |
Form: Mbeya City: WLDWLDLLLLLDDW • Fountain Gate: LLLWDWLWLLDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Mbeya City | Fountain Gate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mbeya City | Fountain Gate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 71% | 43% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 43% | 0% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mbeya City | Fountain Gate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mbeya City | Fountain Gate |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mbeya City | Fountain Gate |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-3 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mbeya City | Fountain Gate |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 62.5% | 37.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Mbeya City or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mbeya City = 0.79 (league 1.42), Fountain Gate = 0.13 (league 0.93)
| Fountain Gate | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mbeya City | 0 | 39.9% | 5.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 31.5% | 4.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.1% · Draw 44.1% · Away win 5.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1