Thu, Dec 4 2025 • 16:00 •
KMC Stadium
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.42)
0.26 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.2% | 15.2% | 3.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
20.9%
1 - 0
19.8%
3 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Mbeya City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Simba | 0 | 9.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.8% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.9% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.7% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Simba | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 7% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 67% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 2.7 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Simba | Mbeya City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 40% | 22% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 22% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 60% | 56% |
Form: Simba: WWW • Mbeya City: WLDWLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Simba | Mbeya City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Simba | Mbeya City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 33% | 44% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 22% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Simba | Mbeya City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Simba | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Simba | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | — | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Simba | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 90% | 10% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 89% | 11% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 78.4% | 21.6% |
Advice: Winner : Simba
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Simba = 2.11 (league 1.42), Mbeya City = 0.26 (league 0.93)
| Mbeya City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Simba | 0 | 9.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.8% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.9% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.7% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.2% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 3.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1