Thu, Apr 9 2026 • 13:00 •
Sokoine Stadium
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.38)
2.41 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 13.7% | 77.7% |
best score tips
0 - 2
16.9%
0 - 1
14.0%
0 - 3
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Azam | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mbeya City | 0 | 5.8% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mbeya City | Azam |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 64% | 45% |
| Defense | 27% | 91% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mbeya City | Azam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 11% | 38% | 24% | 50% | 44% | 47% |
| Draws | 44% | 0% | 24% | 50% | 56% | 53% |
| Loses | 44% | 63% | 53% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Mbeya City: WLDWLDLLLLLDDWLLW • Azam: WDDDWWDWWWDDWDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Mbeya City | Azam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 14 | 10 | 24 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mbeya City | Azam | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 76% | 65% | 24% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 47% | 53% | 6% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 12% | 18% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mbeya City | Azam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mbeya City | Azam |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mbeya City | Azam |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mbeya City | Azam |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 11% | 89% |
| Poisson Distribution | 13% | 87% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 30.7% | 69.3% |
Advice: Winner : Azam
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mbeya City = 0.43 (league 1.38), Azam = 2.41 (league 0.93)
| Azam | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mbeya City | 0 | 5.8% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.0% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 77.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1