First League — Russia
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 06:45 • Central'nyj Stadion
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.23) 1.06 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.2% 34.3% 54.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
26.5%
0 - 0
24.9%
0 - 2
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Fakel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Enisey 0 24.9% 26.5% 14.1% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3%
1 8.1% 8.6% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEniseyFakel
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack23%23%
Defense77%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Enisey Fakel
HATHAT
Played55104610
Wins20%20%20%100%50%70%
Draws20%40%30%0%17%10%
Loses60%40%50%0%33%20%

Form: Enisey: LLDLDWWDLL • Fakel: WWWWWWLDWL

League goals

Metric Enisey Fakel
HATHAT
GF total246459
GF avg0.40.80.61.00.80.9
GA total7512066
GA avg1.41.01.20.01.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEniseyFakel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%60%80%40%
1.520%50%10%20%
2.50%10%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEniseyFakel
HATHAT
Clean sheets224426
Failed to score336022

Penalties

MetricEniseyFakel
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEniseyFakel
Wins26
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-21-01-2
Biggest losses0-32-0—2-0
Goals For1212
Goals Against3202

Model comparison

MetricEniseyFakel
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total39.2%61.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fakel and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.65 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.07 @ 1xBet
Away2.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.80 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.47 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ Pinnacle
No1.63 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Enisey = 0.33 (league 1.23), Fakel = 1.06 (league 1.05)

Fakel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Enisey 0 24.9% 26.5% 14.1% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3%
1 8.1% 8.6% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.2% · Draw 34.3% · Away win 54.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1