First League — Russia
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 09:00 • Ekaterinburg Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.23) 1.75 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.1% 22.9% 41.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Rotor Volgograd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ural 0 3.6% 6.4% 5.6% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
1 5.7% 10.0% 8.7% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 7.8% 6.8% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.3% 4.1% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUralRotor Volgograd
Played55
Form73%80%
Attack85%100%
Defense69%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.214 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ural Rotor Volgograd
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins80%60%70%67%50%60%
Draws20%20%20%17%25%20%
Loses0%20%10%17%25%20%

Form: Ural: WWWWLWWDDW • Rotor Volgograd: WLDWDWLWWW

League goals

Metric Ural Rotor Volgograd
HATHAT
GF total127199918
GF avg2.41.41.91.52.31.8
GA total448235
GA avg0.80.80.80.30.80.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUralRotor Volgograd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%60%80%40%
1.560%20%40%10%
2.530%0%30%0%
3.510%0%10%0%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUralRotor Volgograd
HATHAT
Clean sheets224516
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricUralRotor Volgograd
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricUralRotor Volgograd
Wins41
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-00-6
Biggest losses—1-01-21-0
Goals For4336
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricUralRotor Volgograd
Form48%52%
Att44%56%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h67%33%
Goals67%33%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Ural or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.86 @ 1xBet
Draw3.33 @ 1xBet
Away4.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.51 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.37 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ural = 1.56 (league 1.23), Rotor Volgograd = 1.75 (league 1.05)

Rotor Volgograd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ural 0 3.6% 6.4% 5.6% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
1 5.7% 10.0% 8.7% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 7.8% 6.8% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.3% 4.1% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.1% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 41.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1