First League — Russia
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion Trud
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.23) 1.13 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.1% 31.0% 43.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.8%
0 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
FK Neftekhimik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Volga Ulyanovsk 0 14.8% 16.8% 9.5% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.5% 13.0% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.5% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVolga UlyanovskFK Neftekhimik
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack46%31%
Defense23%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Volga Ulyanovsk FK Neftekhimik
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins40%20%30%17%25%20%
Draws20%20%20%50%50%50%
Loses40%60%50%33%25%30%

Form: Volga Ulyanovsk: LLDLWLWDLW • FK Neftekhimik: DDDWLLDLDW

League goals

Metric Volga Ulyanovsk FK Neftekhimik
HATHAT
GF total6410448
GF avg1.20.81.00.71.00.8
GA total610169312
GA avg1.22.01.61.50.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVolga UlyanovskFK Neftekhimik
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%90%70%60%
1.520%50%10%20%
2.510%10%0%20%
3.50%10%0%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVolga UlyanovskFK Neftekhimik
HATHAT
Clean sheets101314
Failed to score033213

Penalties

MetricVolga UlyanovskFK Neftekhimik
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVolga UlyanovskFK Neftekhimik
Wins11
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-31-00-2
Biggest losses1-24-01-51-0
Goals For2312
Goals Against2451

Model comparison

MetricVolga UlyanovskFK Neftekhimik
Form58%42%
Att60%40%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h67%33%
Goals50%50%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Volga Ulyanovsk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 1xBet
Away3.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Volga Ulyanovsk = 0.78 (league 1.23), FK Neftekhimik = 1.13 (league 1.06)

FK Neftekhimik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Volga Ulyanovsk 0 14.8% 16.8% 9.5% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.5% 13.0% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.5% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.1% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 43.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1