Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion Central'nyj
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.22) 0.68 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.7% 31.3% 21.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.4%
0 - 0
16.1%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Rodina Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelyabinsk 0 16.1% 11.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.4% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.6% 7.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelyabinskRodina Moskva
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack54%100%
Defense69%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelyabinsk Rodina Moskva
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins80%20%50%50%25%40%
Draws20%40%30%33%50%40%
Loses0%40%20%17%25%20%

Form: Chelyabinsk: WWLWLWDDWD • Rodina Moskva: DLLDDDWWWW

League goals

Metric Chelyabinsk Rodina Moskva
HATHAT
GF total771410717
GF avg1.41.41.41.71.81.7
GA total2810549
GA avg0.41.61.00.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelyabinskRodina Moskva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%70%90%60%
1.520%30%40%20%
2.520%0%20%10%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelyabinskRodina Moskva
HATHAT
Clean sheets303314
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricChelyabinskRodina Moskva
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricChelyabinskRodina Moskva
Wins20
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-33-01-5
Biggest losses2-11-32-1
Goals For3335
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricChelyabinskRodina Moskva
Form41%59%
Att35%65%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total43.3%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rodina Moskva

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.11 @ Pinnacle
Away2.42 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.49 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Marathonbet
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelyabinsk = 1.14 (league 1.22), Rodina Moskva = 0.68 (league 1.06)

Rodina Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelyabinsk 0 16.1% 11.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.4% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.6% 7.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.7% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 21.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1