First League — Russia
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Central’nyj im. I.P. Chayka
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.22) 5.72 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.2% 0.9% 48.0%
best score tips
0 - 5
12.1%
0 - 4
10.5%
0 - 3
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Spartak Kostroma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chayka 0 0.2% 1.4% 3.9% 7.4% 10.5% 12.1%
1 0.1% 0.4% 1.3% 2.4% 3.4% 3.9%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChaykaSpartak Kostroma
Played55
Form0%87%
Attack8%75%
Defense0%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)18 | 3.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chayka Spartak Kostroma
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins0%17%10%40%100%70%
Draws25%33%30%40%0%20%
Loses75%50%60%20%0%10%

Form: Chayka: WDDDLLLLLL • Spartak Kostroma: LWDWWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Chayka Spartak Kostroma
HATHAT
GF total25761016
GF avg0.50.80.71.22.01.6
GA total121022549
GA avg3.01.72.21.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChaykaSpartak Kostroma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%80%90%90%
1.510%50%60%0%
2.510%40%10%0%
3.50%30%0%0%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChaykaSpartak Kostroma
HATHAT
Clean sheets022011
Failed to score235101

Penalties

MetricChaykaSpartak Kostroma
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricChaykaSpartak Kostroma
Wins14
Draws31
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-32-11-3
Biggest losses0-64-00-1—
Goals For1323
Goals Against6411

Model comparison

MetricChaykaSpartak Kostroma
Form0%100%
Att10%90%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution5%95%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total19.4%80.6%

Advice: Combo Winner : Spartak Kostroma and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.58 @ Pinnacle
Away1.75 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.32 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chayka = 0.33 (league 1.22), Spartak Kostroma = 5.72 (league 1.05)

Spartak Kostroma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chayka 0 0.2% 1.4% 3.9% 7.4% 10.5% 12.1%
1 0.1% 0.4% 1.3% 2.4% 3.4% 3.9%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.2% · Draw 0.9% · Away win 48.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1