First League — Russia
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Arsenal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.23) 0.80 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.2% 19.6% 13.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 0
11.7%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
FC UFA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 5.6% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.7% 9.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.4% 6.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenal TulaFC UFA
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack67%75%
Defense50%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Tula FC UFA
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%40%30%40%0%20%
Draws60%20%40%40%20%30%
Loses20%40%30%20%80%50%

Form: Arsenal Tula: DDWDDWLWLL • FC UFA: DLWLDLWDLL

League goals

Metric Arsenal Tula FC UFA
HATHAT
GF total87158311
GF avg1.61.41.51.60.61.1
GA total75124812
GA avg1.41.01.20.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenal TulaFC UFA
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%90%60%60%
1.540%30%30%30%
2.520%0%10%30%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenal TulaFC UFA
HATHAT
Clean sheets011314
Failed to score011134

Penalties

MetricArsenal TulaFC UFA
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricArsenal TulaFC UFA
Wins11
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-0—
Biggest losses1-22-12-33-1
Goals For3342
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricArsenal TulaFC UFA
Form60%40%
Att47%53%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total62.5%37.5%

Advice: Double chance : Arsenal Tula or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.86 @ 1xBet
Draw3.36 @ 1xBet
Away5.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.49 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.43 @ Pinnacle
No1.59 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Arsenal Tula = 2.08 (league 1.23), FC UFA = 0.80 (league 1.05)

FC UFA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 5.6% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.7% 9.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.4% 6.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.2% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 13.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1