First League — Russia
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion KAMAZ
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.25) 0.75 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.5% 35.1% 29.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.9%
1 - 0
17.2%
0 - 1
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 1 2 3 4 5
KAMAZ 0 19.9% 15.0% 5.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.2% 12.9% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.4% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKAMAZShinnik Yaroslavl
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack58%33%
Defense50%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KAMAZ Shinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins50%50%50%40%20%30%
Draws25%33%30%20%60%40%
Loses25%17%20%40%20%30%

Form: KAMAZ: DWWLWWDWDL • Shinnik Yaroslavl: LDLLWDWDWD

League goals

Metric KAMAZ Shinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
GF total7916437
GF avg1.81.51.60.80.60.7
GA total5712437
GA avg1.31.21.20.80.60.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKAMAZShinnik Yaroslavl
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%90%50%60%
1.550%20%20%10%
2.520%10%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKAMAZShinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
Clean sheets011224
Failed to score011235

Penalties

MetricKAMAZShinnik Yaroslavl
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricKAMAZShinnik Yaroslavl
Wins21
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-01-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-21-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricKAMAZShinnik Yaroslavl
Form47%53%
Att64%36%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h71%29%
Goals77%23%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : KAMAZ or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.02 @ 1xBet
Away4.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.37 @ 188Bet
No1.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KAMAZ = 0.86 (league 1.25), Shinnik Yaroslavl = 0.75 (league 1.04)

Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 1 2 3 4 5
KAMAZ 0 19.9% 15.0% 5.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.2% 12.9% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.4% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.5% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 29.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1