Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:30 •
Estadio Alcalde Manuel Candocia
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.30)
1.76 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.8% | 23.5% | 50.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Polvorín | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Somozas | 0 | 5.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Somozas | Polvorín |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 67% |
| Attack | 40% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Somozas | Polvorín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Somozas: DLWD • Polvorín: DWDW
League goals
| Metric | Somozas | Polvorín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Somozas | Polvorín | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 25% | 25% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Somozas | Polvorín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Somozas | Polvorín |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Somozas | Polvorín |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Somozas | Polvorín |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 42.2% | 58.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Polvorín and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Somozas = 1.15 (league 1.30), Polvorín = 1.76 (league 1.11)
| Polvorín | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Somozas | 0 | 5.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.8% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 50.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1