Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.32) 0.37 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.1% 54.1% 22.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
47.2%
1 - 0
17.8%
0 - 1
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
Estradense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Polvorín 0 47.2% 17.6% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.8% 6.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPolvorínEstradense
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack56%44%
Defense56%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

36%
FT probability

2.5+

25%
FT probability

3.5+

18%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Polvorín Estradense
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%0%40%67%0%40%
Draws0%67%40%33%100%60%
Loses0%33%20%0%0%0%

Form: Polvorín: DWDWL • Estradense: WDWDD

League goals

Metric Polvorín Estradense
HATHAT
GF total235314
GF avg1.01.01.01.00.50.8
GA total044112
GA avg0.01.30.80.30.50.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePolvorínEstradense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%60%40%
1.520%20%20%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPolvorínEstradense
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricPolvorínEstradense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPolvorínEstradense
Wins11
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-1
Biggest losses1-0
Goals For1221
Goals Against0211

Model comparison

MetricPolvorínEstradense
Form47%53%
Att56%44%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total41.4%58.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Estradense and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.88 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 1xBet
No1.73 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Polvorín = 0.38 (league 1.32), Estradense = 0.37 (league 1.07)

Estradense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Polvorín 0 47.2% 17.6% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.8% 6.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.1% · Draw 54.1% · Away win 22.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1