Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 15:00 • Campo do Morrazo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.32) 0.56 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.3% 35.6% 21.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.2%
1 - 0
21.0%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Somozas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alondras 0 22.2% 12.4% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.0% 11.8% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.9% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlondrasSomozas
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack75%25%
Defense67%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

41%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alondras Somozas
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%67%60%67%0%40%
Draws0%33%20%33%50%40%
Loses50%0%20%0%50%20%

Form: Alondras: WWWLD • Somozas: DLWDW

League goals

Metric Alondras Somozas
HATHAT
GF total189303
GF avg0.52.71.81.00.00.6
GA total224055
GA avg1.00.70.80.02.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlondrasSomozas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%40%20%
1.560%40%20%20%
2.520%0%0%20%
3.520%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlondrasSomozas
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score101123

Penalties

MetricAlondrasSomozas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAlondrasSomozas
Wins31
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-42-0
Biggest losses0-25-0
Goals For1420
Goals Against2205

Model comparison

MetricAlondrasSomozas
Form56%44%
Att75%25%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total63.6%36.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Alondras or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away4.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.47 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ William Hill
No1.59 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alondras = 0.95 (league 1.32), Somozas = 0.56 (league 1.07)

Somozas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alondras 0 22.2% 12.4% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.0% 11.8% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.9% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.3% · Draw 35.6% · Away win 21.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1