Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 15:30 •
Estadio Alcalde Manuel Candocia
Expected Goals
2.33 (league 1.29)
1.59 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.1% | 19.7% | 25.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Barbadás | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Somozas | 0 | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Somozas | Barbadás |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 20% |
| Attack | 46% | 8% |
| Defense | 54% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Somozas | Barbadás | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
Form: Somozas: DLWDWW • Barbadás: WDLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Somozas | Barbadás | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Somozas | Barbadás | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 33% | 33% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 17% | 17% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 17% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Somozas | Barbadás | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Somozas | Barbadás |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Somozas | Barbadás |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | — | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-0 | — | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Somozas | Barbadás |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 86% | 14% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 70.4% | 29.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Somozas or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Somozas = 2.33 (league 1.29), Barbadás = 1.59 (league 1.07)
| Barbadás | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Somozas | 0 | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 25.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1