Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 15:00 •
Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.26)
0.74 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.4% | 39.9% | 35.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
27.4%
0 - 1
20.2%
1 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Alondras | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estradense | 0 | 27.4% | 20.2% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Estradense | Alondras |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 21% | 57% |
| Defense | 71% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Estradense | Alondras | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Draws | 33% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Estradense: WDWDDL • Alondras: WWWLDL
League goals
| Metric | Estradense | Alondras | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Estradense | Alondras | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 83% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 17% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Estradense | Alondras | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Estradense | Alondras |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Estradense | Alondras |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 1-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Estradense | Alondras |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 52.5% | 47.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Estradense or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Estradense = 0.56 (league 1.26), Alondras = 0.74 (league 1.10)
| Alondras | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estradense | 0 | 27.4% | 20.2% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.4% · Draw 39.9% · Away win 35.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1