Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio A Lomba
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.32)
0.28 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.2% | 20.6% | 5.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.1%
2 - 0
20.1%
0 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Noia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arosa | 0 | 13.3% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.1% | 6.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.1% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.6% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arosa | Noia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 71% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arosa | Noia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
Form: Arosa: WDDWWL • Noia: DLWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Arosa | Noia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arosa | Noia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 67% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 83% | 50% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arosa | Noia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arosa | Noia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arosa | Noia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 2-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arosa | Noia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 54.2% | 45.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Arosa or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Arosa = 1.74 (league 1.32), Noia = 0.28 (league 1.07)
| Noia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arosa | 0 | 13.3% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.1% | 6.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.1% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.6% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.2% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 5.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1