Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio Alcalde Manuel Candocia
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.25)
0.99 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.1% | 23.2% | 20.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.1%
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Arosa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Somozas | 0 | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Somozas | Arosa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 53% |
| Attack | 82% | 100% |
| Defense | 91% | 18% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Somozas | Arosa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 80% | 40% | 60% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Draws | 20% | 40% | 30% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 10% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
Form: Somozas: DLWDWWWWWD • Arosa: WDDWWLWDWD
League goals
| Metric | Somozas | Arosa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Somozas | Arosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 20% | 100% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 10% | 80% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 10% | 20% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Somozas | Arosa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Somozas | Arosa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Somozas | Arosa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 5-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Somozas | Arosa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 90% | 10% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 49.2% | 50.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Somozas or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Somozas = 1.79 (league 1.25), Arosa = 0.99 (league 1.09)
| Arosa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Somozas | 0 | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.1% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 20.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1