Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 — Spain
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 11:00 • Campo do Morrazo
Match Finished

Alondras

1 - 0

Celtiga

Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.26) 2.65 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.0% 15.7% 66.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 2
9.0%
1 - 3
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Celtiga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alondras 0 2.6% 6.8% 9.0% 8.0% 5.3% 2.8%
1 2.6% 6.9% 9.1% 8.1% 5.3% 2.8%
2 1.3% 3.5% 4.6% 4.1% 2.7% 1.4%
3 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlondrasCeltiga
Played55
Form13%100%
Attack30%100%
Defense0%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alondras Celtiga
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%33%27%67%40%55%
Draws20%33%27%17%0%9%
Loses60%33%45%17%60%36%

Form: Alondras: WWWLDLLLDDL • Celtiga: LWLDLLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Alondras Celtiga
HATHAT
GF total491312820
GF avg0.81.51.22.01.61.8
GA total99185813
GA avg1.81.51.60.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlondrasCeltiga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%73%91%64%
1.536%64%45%45%
2.59%18%18%9%
3.59%9%18%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlondrasCeltiga
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score224101

Penalties

MetricAlondrasCeltiga
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAlondrasCeltiga
Wins31
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-45-02-4
Biggest losses1-34-00-32-1
Goals For2454
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricAlondrasCeltiga
Form12%88%
Att21%79%
Def21%79%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total20.5%79.5%

Advice: Winner : Celtiga

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.43 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.32 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Marathonbet
No1.88 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Alondras vs Celtiga

Expected goals (λ): Alondras = 1.01 (league 1.26), Celtiga = 2.65 (league 1.09)

Celtiga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alondras 0 2.6% 6.8% 9.0% 8.0% 5.3% 2.8%
1 2.6% 6.9% 9.1% 8.1% 5.3% 2.8%
2 1.3% 3.5% 4.6% 4.1% 2.7% 1.4%
3 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.0% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 66.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1