Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio A Lomba
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.26)
1.31 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.7% | 24.1% | 30.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Estradense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arosa | 0 | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arosa | Estradense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 40% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arosa | Estradense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 60% | 33% | 45% | 50% | 20% | 36% |
| Draws | 40% | 50% | 45% | 50% | 60% | 55% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 9% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
Form: Arosa: WDDWWLWDWDD • Estradense: WDWDDLWWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Arosa | Estradense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 9 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arosa | Estradense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 73% | 64% | 45% |
| 1.5 | 73% | 45% | 36% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 9% | 18% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 18% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arosa | Estradense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arosa | Estradense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arosa | Estradense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arosa | Estradense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 48% | 52% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 54.2% | 46.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Arosa or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Arosa = 1.65 (league 1.26), Estradense = 1.31 (league 1.10)
| Estradense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arosa | 0 | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 30.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1