Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio Alcalde Manuel Candocia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.26) 0.55 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.0% 35.6% 20.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.3%
1 - 0
21.3%
0 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Estradense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Somozas 0 22.3% 12.2% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.3% 11.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.1% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSomozasEstradense
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack14%43%
Defense71%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

43%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Somozas Estradense
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins67%29%46%43%17%31%
Draws33%29%31%43%50%46%
Loses0%43%23%14%33%23%

Form: Somozas: DLWDWWWWWDDLL • Estradense: WDWDDLWWDDDLL

League goals

Metric Somozas Estradense
HATHAT
GF total75129615
GF avg1.20.70.91.31.01.2
GA total0884610
GA avg0.01.10.60.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSomozasEstradense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.546%31%54%54%
1.531%8%31%23%
2.515%8%15%0%
3.50%8%15%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSomozasEstradense
HATHAT
Clean sheets639426
Failed to score257336

Penalties

MetricSomozasEstradense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSomozasEstradense
Wins52
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-00-4
Biggest losses—5-00-12-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against0522

Model comparison

MetricSomozasEstradense
Form63%38%
Att25%75%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h60%40%
Goals57%43%
Total56.0%44.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Somozas or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.85 @ Superbet
Away2.47 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Marathonbet
No1.68 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.59 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Somozas = 0.95 (league 1.26), Estradense = 0.55 (league 1.10)

Estradense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Somozas 0 22.3% 12.2% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.3% 11.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.1% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.0% · Draw 35.6% · Away win 20.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1