Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio A Lomba
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.26)
0.73 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3% | 20.3% | 12.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
2 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Barco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arosa | 0 | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arosa | Barco |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 71% | 57% |
| Defense | 57% | 14% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arosa | Barco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 67% | 29% | 46% | 14% | 33% | 23% |
| Draws | 33% | 43% | 38% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
| Loses | 0% | 29% | 15% | 57% | 33% | 46% |
Form: Arosa: WDDWWLWDWDDWL • Barco: LLLWWLLDDWDDL
League goals
| Metric | Arosa | Barco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 9 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arosa | Barco | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 69% | 54% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 69% | 38% | 15% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 8% | 0% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arosa | Barco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arosa | Barco |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arosa | Barco |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arosa | Barco |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 68.0% | 32.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Arosa or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Arosa = 1.98 (league 1.26), Barco = 0.73 (league 1.10)
| Barco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arosa | 0 | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.3% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 12.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1