Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio Alcalde Manuel Candocia
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.25)
0.06 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6% | 32.2% | 2.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
34.2%
0 - 0
30.0%
2 - 0
19.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Barco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Somozas | 0 | 30.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 34.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Somozas | Barco |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 17% | 8% |
| Defense | 50% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
48%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Somozas | Barco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 71% | 25% | 47% | 13% | 29% | 20% |
| Draws | 29% | 25% | 27% | 25% | 29% | 27% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 27% | 63% | 43% | 53% |
Form: Somozas: DLWDWWWWWDDLLWL • Barco: LLLWWLLDDWDDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Somozas | Barco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 1 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Somozas | Barco | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 47% | 40% | 47% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 13% | 13% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 0% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Somozas | Barco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Somozas | Barco |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Somozas | Barco |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Somozas | Barco |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 93% | 7% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 56.5% | 43.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Somozas or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Somozas = 1.14 (league 1.25), Barco = 0.06 (league 1.09)
| Barco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Somozas | 0 | 30.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 34.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.6% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 2.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1