Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 16:00 • Estadio Alcalde Manuel Candocia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.30) 0.10 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.6% 25.5% 2.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
31.1%
0 - 0
22.1%
2 - 0
21.8%
Score & goals probability table
Celtiga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Somozas 0 22.1% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.1% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.8% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSomozasCeltiga
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack41%35%
Defense76%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Somozas Celtiga
HATHAT
Played8101810818
Wins75%40%56%60%25%44%
Draws25%20%22%20%13%17%
Loses0%40%22%20%63%39%

Form: Somozas: DLWDWWWWWDDLLWLWWW • Celtiga: LWLDLLWWWWWLWLWDLD

League goals

Metric Somozas Celtiga
HATHAT
GF total1091919928
GF avg1.30.91.11.91.11.6
GA total11112101121
GA avg0.11.10.71.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSomozasCeltiga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%33%83%67%
1.533%11%39%33%
2.517%11%17%11%
3.50%6%11%6%
4.50%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSomozasCeltiga
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512516
Failed to score268123

Penalties

MetricSomozasCeltiga
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSomozasCeltiga
Wins55
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-02-4
Biggest losses—5-00-32-1
Goals For3354
Goals Against1542

Model comparison

MetricSomozasCeltiga
Form71%29%
Att54%46%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total70.0%30.0%

Advice: Double chance : Somozas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ Betano
Draw2.87 @ Superbet
Away3.09 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Superbet
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.47 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Somozas = 1.40 (league 1.30), Celtiga = 0.10 (league 1.05)

Celtiga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Somozas 0 22.1% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.1% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.8% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.6% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 2.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1