Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 10:00 •
Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.29)
0.90 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.1% | 26.0% | 22.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Polvorín | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estradense | 0 | 8.9% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Estradense | Polvorín |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 47% | 24% |
| Defense | 65% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Estradense | Polvorín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 15 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| Wins | 42% | 27% | 33% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Draws | 42% | 33% | 37% | 40% | 33% | 37% |
| Loses | 17% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 42% | 30% |
Form: Estradense: WDWDDLWWDDDLLLWLDWDWLLDWWDL • Polvorín: DWDWLWLDWDLLWWWDDDLLDDWLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Estradense | Polvorín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 20 | 35 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 10 | 18 | 28 | 13 | 18 | 31 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Estradense | Polvorín | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 67% | 81% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 37% | 26% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 0% | 4% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Estradense | Polvorín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Estradense | Polvorín |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Estradense | Polvorín |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Estradense | Polvorín |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 59.3% | 40.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Estradense or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Estradense = 1.51 (league 1.29), Polvorín = 0.90 (league 1.06)
| Polvorín | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estradense | 0 | 8.9% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 22.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1