Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 15:00 • Estadio Alcalde Manuel Candocia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.29) 0.53 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.3% 28.1% 14.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.6%
0 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Alondras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Somozas 0 15.1% 8.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.6% 10.9% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.0% 7.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.4% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSomozasAlondras
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack24%29%
Defense71%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Somozas Alondras
HATHAT
Played121527141327
Wins50%33%41%43%23%33%
Draws42%27%33%29%31%30%
Loses8%40%26%29%46%37%

Form: Somozas: DLWDWWWWWDDLLWLWWWDLDDDDWLL • Alondras: WWWLDLLLDDLWWDLDWWLWDWDLLLD

League goals

Metric Somozas Alondras
HATHAT
GF total131427191837
GF avg1.10.91.01.41.41.4
GA total51722182139
GA avg0.41.10.81.31.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSomozasAlondras
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%52%74%70%
1.530%15%44%56%
2.511%7%15%15%
3.50%4%4%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSomozasAlondras
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613538
Failed to score3811347

Penalties

MetricSomozasAlondras
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSomozasAlondras
Wins53
Draws42
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-00-4
Biggest losses0-15-01-34-0
Goals For3334
Goals Against1534

Model comparison

MetricSomozasAlondras
Form71%29%
Att44%56%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : Somozas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Somozas = 1.36 (league 1.29), Alondras = 0.53 (league 1.06)

Alondras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Somozas 0 15.1% 8.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.6% 10.9% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.0% 7.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.4% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.3% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 14.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1