Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 10:30 •
Estadio Juan Antonio Alvarez Rabanal
Expected Goals
2.83 (league 1.41)
0.61 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.2% | 11.6% | 5.4% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.9%
3 - 0
12.2%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| San Martín | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Covadonga | 0 | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.9% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.2% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.6% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Covadonga | San Martín |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Attack | 43% | 14% |
| Defense | 86% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Covadonga | San Martín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 100% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Form: Covadonga: DWD • San Martín: DLW
League goals
| Metric | Covadonga | San Martín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Covadonga | San Martín | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Covadonga | San Martín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Covadonga | San Martín |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Covadonga | San Martín |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-4 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Covadonga | San Martín |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 63.6% | 36.4% |
Advice: Winner : Covadonga
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Covadonga = 2.83 (league 1.41), San Martín = 0.61 (league 1.15)
| San Martín | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Covadonga | 0 | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.9% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.2% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.6% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.2% · Draw 11.6% · Away win 5.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1