Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 10:30 •
Estadio Finstral El Sotón
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.42)
3.19 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 9.9% | 74.6% |
best score tips
0 - 3
11.0%
0 - 2
10.3%
0 - 4
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Covadonga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lenense | 0 | 2.0% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lenense | Covadonga |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 50% | 67% |
| Attack | 40% | 60% |
| Defense | 67% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 9 | 2.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lenense | Covadonga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Lenense: WDDD • Covadonga: DWDW
League goals
| Metric | Lenense | Covadonga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lenense | Covadonga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lenense | Covadonga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lenense | Covadonga |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lenense | Covadonga |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lenense | Covadonga |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 15% | 85% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 29.3% | 70.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Covadonga
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lenense = 0.71 (league 1.42), Covadonga = 3.19 (league 1.17)
| Covadonga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lenense | 0 | 2.0% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.0% · Draw 9.9% · Away win 74.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1