Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio El Candín
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.36)
0.44 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.8% | 29.3% | 12.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.8%
0 - 0
17.7%
2 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
| San Martín | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tuilla | 0 | 17.7% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.7% | 6.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tuilla | San Martín |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 8% | 33% |
| Attack | 11% | 16% |
| Defense | 63% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tuilla | San Martín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 75% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Tuilla: LLDL • San Martín: DLWL
League goals
| Metric | Tuilla | San Martín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tuilla | San Martín | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tuilla | San Martín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tuilla | San Martín |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tuilla | San Martín |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tuilla | San Martín |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 54.2% | 46.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Tuilla or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tuilla = 1.29 (league 1.36), San Martín = 0.44 (league 1.13)
| San Martín | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tuilla | 0 | 17.7% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.7% | 6.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.8% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 12.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1