Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.41)
0.68 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.6% | 27.2% | 17.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.4%
2 - 0
12.4%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Colunga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mosconia | 0 | 12.2% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mosconia | Colunga |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Attack | 32% | 16% |
| Defense | 79% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
48%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mosconia | Colunga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Mosconia: DLDW • Colunga: DWLW
League goals
| Metric | Mosconia | Colunga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mosconia | Colunga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 50% | 25% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mosconia | Colunga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mosconia | Colunga |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mosconia | Colunga |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mosconia | Colunga |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 18% | 82% |
| Total | 36.0% | 64.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Colunga and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mosconia = 1.42 (league 1.41), Colunga = 0.68 (league 1.18)
| Colunga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mosconia | 0 | 12.2% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.6% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 17.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1