Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio El Florán
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.41) 1.36 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.6% 28.1% 52.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.1%
0 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lenense
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Martín 0 12.6% 17.1% 11.6% 5.3% 1.8% 0.5%
1 9.0% 12.2% 8.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 3.2% 4.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan MartínLenense
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack55%64%
Defense27%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Martín Lenense
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%33%0%20%
Draws50%0%20%33%100%60%
Loses0%67%40%33%0%20%

Form: San Martín: DLWLW • Lenense: WDDDL

League goals

Metric San Martín Lenense
HATHAT
GF total246527
GF avg1.01.31.21.71.01.4
GA total088729
GA avg0.02.71.62.31.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan MartínLenense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%100%100%
1.540%40%40%40%
2.520%40%0%20%
3.50%20%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan MartínLenense
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricSan MartínLenense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSan MartínLenense
Wins11
Draws13
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-1
Biggest losses4-01-4
Goals For2321
Goals Against0441

Model comparison

MetricSan MartínLenense
Form54%46%
Att46%54%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : San Martín or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.15 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Marathonbet
No1.83 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): San Martín = 0.71 (league 1.41), Lenense = 1.36 (league 1.18)

Lenense
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Martín 0 12.6% 17.1% 11.6% 5.3% 1.8% 0.5%
1 9.0% 12.2% 8.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 3.2% 4.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.6% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 52.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1