Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio El Florán
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.41) 0.26 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.3% 23.4% 5.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.2%
2 - 0
19.7%
0 - 0
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Gijón Industrial
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Martín 0 16.1% 4.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.2% 6.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.7% 5.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.3% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan MartínGijón Industrial
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack73%45%
Defense55%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Martín Gijón Industrial
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%25%43%0%0%0%
Draws33%25%29%25%33%29%
Loses0%50%29%75%67%71%

Form: San Martín: DLWLWWD • Gijón Industrial: LLDDLLL

League goals

Metric San Martín Gijón Industrial
HATHAT
GF total448336
GF avg1.31.01.10.81.00.9
GA total1898513
GA avg0.32.01.32.01.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan MartínGijón Industrial
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%57%57%86%
1.543%29%14%57%
2.514%29%14%43%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan MartínGijón Industrial
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricSan MartínGijón Industrial
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSan MartínGijón Industrial
Wins20
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-3
Biggest losses4-01-31-0
Goals For2313
Goals Against1433

Model comparison

MetricSan MartínGijón Industrial
Form83%17%
Att62%38%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h36%64%
Goals40%60%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Double chance : San Martín or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Betano
Away4.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.64 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Superbet
No1.76 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): San Martín = 1.57 (league 1.41), Gijón Industrial = 0.26 (league 1.15)

Gijón Industrial
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Martín 0 16.1% 4.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.2% 6.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.7% 5.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.3% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.3% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 5.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1