Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Finstral El Sotón
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.42) 1.36 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.7% 24.6% 33.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Praviano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lenense 0 5.4% 7.4% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.4% 11.5% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 8.9% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 3.4% 4.6% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLenensePraviano
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack38%54%
Defense23%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lenense Praviano
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%0%14%25%0%14%
Draws33%50%43%75%33%57%
Loses33%50%43%0%67%29%

Form: Lenense: WDDDLLL • Praviano: DDDLWLD

League goals

Metric Lenense Praviano
HATHAT
GF total538729
GF avg1.70.81.11.80.71.3
GA total7512347
GA avg2.31.31.70.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLenensePraviano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%100%71%71%
1.529%43%29%29%
2.50%14%14%0%
3.50%14%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLenensePraviano
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricLenensePraviano
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLenensePraviano
Wins11
Draws33
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—4-0—
Biggest losses1-42-1—2-1
Goals For2141
Goals Against4222

Model comparison

MetricLenensePraviano
Form29%71%
Att42%58%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h60%40%
Goals55%45%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Praviano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lenense = 1.56 (league 1.42), Praviano = 1.36 (league 1.19)

Praviano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lenense 0 5.4% 7.4% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.4% 11.5% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 8.9% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 3.4% 4.6% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.7% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 33.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1