Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Juan Antonio Alvarez Rabanal
Expected Goals
2.85 (league 1.41)
0.93 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.8% | 13.8% | 9.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.2%
3 - 0
8.8%
2 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Navarro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Covadonga | 0 | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Covadonga | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 62% |
| Defense | 62% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Covadonga | Navarro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 75% | 71% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 75% | 0% | 43% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 43% |
Form: Covadonga: DWDWWWW • Navarro: DLDLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Covadonga | Navarro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Covadonga | Navarro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 86% | 43% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 0% | 43% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 0% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Covadonga | Navarro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Covadonga | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Covadonga | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-4 | 4-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Covadonga | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 72% | 28% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 61.2% | 38.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Covadonga or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Covadonga = 2.85 (league 1.41), Navarro = 0.93 (league 1.18)
| Navarro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Covadonga | 0 | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.8% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 9.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1