Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio El Bayu
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.42)
5.06 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7% | 4.6% | 53.2% |
best score tips
1 - 5
6.4%
1 - 4
6.3%
0 - 5
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Covadonga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Siero | 0 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Siero | Covadonga |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 100% |
| Attack | 78% | 100% |
| Defense | 33% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Siero | Covadonga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 25% | 25% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Siero: DLLDWLLW • Covadonga: DWDWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Siero | Covadonga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Siero | Covadonga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 63% | 75% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Siero | Covadonga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Siero | Covadonga |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Siero | Covadonga |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Siero | Covadonga |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 17% | 83% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 37.0% | 63.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Covadonga and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Siero = 1.13 (league 1.42), Covadonga = 5.06 (league 1.19)
| Covadonga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Siero | 0 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.7% · Draw 4.6% · Away win 53.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1