Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:30 •
Estadio Juan Antonio Alvarez Rabanal
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.39)
0.70 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.5% | 26.9% | 18.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.9%
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Caudal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Covadonga | 0 | 11.7% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Covadonga | Caudal |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 67% |
| Attack | 67% | 56% |
| Defense | 72% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Covadonga | Caudal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 75% | 60% | 67% | 60% | 50% | 56% |
| Draws | 25% | 20% | 22% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 11% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
Form: Covadonga: DWDWWWWWL • Caudal: DWWDWWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Covadonga | Caudal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 13 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Covadonga | Caudal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 78% | 78% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 11% | 78% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Covadonga | Caudal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Covadonga | Caudal |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Covadonga | Caudal |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Covadonga | Caudal |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Covadonga or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Covadonga = 1.44 (league 1.39), Caudal = 0.70 (league 1.14)
| Caudal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Covadonga | 0 | 11.7% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.5% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 18.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1