Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 11:30 •
Estadio Finstral El Sotón
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.43)
1.36 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.9% | 27.4% | 45.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.1%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Caudal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lenense | 0 | 9.7% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lenense | Caudal |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 33% |
| Attack | 18% | 47% |
| Defense | 53% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lenense | Caudal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 20% | 0% | 9% | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Draws | 40% | 50% | 45% | 50% | 20% | 36% |
| Loses | 40% | 50% | 45% | 0% | 40% | 18% |
Form: Lenense: WDDDLLLLDDL • Caudal: DWWDWWWLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Lenense | Caudal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lenense | Caudal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 100% | 73% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 45% | 73% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 18% | 27% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lenense | Caudal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lenense | Caudal |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lenense | Caudal |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lenense | Caudal |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 9% | 91% |
| Total | 27.5% | 72.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Caudal
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lenense = 0.98 (league 1.43), Caudal = 1.36 (league 1.18)
| Caudal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lenense | 0 | 9.7% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 45.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1