Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio Juan Antonio Alvarez Rabanal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.41) 0.51 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.2% 25.3% 12.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.9%
2 - 0
15.3%
0 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Mosconia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Covadonga 0 13.0% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.9% 10.1% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.3% 7.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.8% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCovadongaMosconia
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack59%53%
Defense71%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Covadonga Mosconia
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins80%67%73%67%20%45%
Draws20%17%18%17%40%27%
Loses0%17%9%17%40%27%

Form: Covadonga: DWDWWWWWLWW • Mosconia: DLDWWWDLWLW

League goals

Metric Covadonga Mosconia
HATHAT
GF total9162514519
GF avg1.82.72.32.31.01.7
GA total37104610
GA avg0.61.20.90.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCovadongaMosconia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%73%82%64%
1.564%18%55%27%
2.545%0%18%0%
3.518%0%9%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCovadongaMosconia
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricCovadongaMosconia
Scored (total | %)2 | 66.67%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 33.33%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricCovadongaMosconia
Wins53
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-45-01-2
Biggest losses—2-11-22-1
Goals For3452
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricCovadongaMosconia
Form63%37%
Att53%47%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h75%25%
Goals60%40%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Double chance : Covadonga or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Betano
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away5.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ Marathonbet
No1.72 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Covadonga = 1.53 (league 1.41), Mosconia = 0.51 (league 1.18)

Mosconia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Covadonga 0 13.0% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.9% 10.1% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.3% 7.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.8% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.2% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 12.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1