Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 14:45 • Estadio El Candín
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.42) 0.72 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.4% 39.5% 34.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.6%
0 - 1
19.3%
1 - 0
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
Navarro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tuilla 0 26.6% 19.3% 7.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.0% 11.6% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTuillaNavarro
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack25%63%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tuilla Navarro
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%0%8%17%17%17%
Draws17%17%17%67%17%42%
Loses67%83%75%17%67%42%

Form: Tuilla: LLDLLLWLLLLD • Navarro: DLDLWLDLLDDW

League goals

Metric Tuilla Navarro
HATHAT
GF total3589413
GF avg0.50.80.71.50.71.1
GA total7172471017
GA avg1.22.82.01.21.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTuillaNavarro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%92%50%83%
1.58%50%42%50%
2.50%33%8%8%
3.50%17%8%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTuillaNavarro
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score325246

Penalties

MetricTuillaNavarro
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTuillaNavarro
Wins11
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—4-10-2
Biggest losses1-35-00-13-0
Goals For1242
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricTuillaNavarro
Form17%83%
Att29%71%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h80%20%
Goals83%17%
Total48.7%51.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Navarro and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tuilla = 0.60 (league 1.42), Navarro = 0.72 (league 1.16)

Navarro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tuilla 0 26.6% 19.3% 7.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.0% 11.6% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.4% · Draw 39.5% · Away win 34.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1