Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 11:30 • Estadio Finstral El Sotón
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.40) 1.25 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.8% 27.8% 39.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Mosconia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lenense 0 9.4% 11.7% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.5% 13.1% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.9% 7.3% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLenenseMosconia
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack36%73%
Defense18%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lenense Mosconia
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins17%0%8%57%17%38%
Draws50%43%46%29%33%31%
Loses33%57%46%14%50%31%

Form: Lenense: WDDDLLLLDDLDL • Mosconia: DLDWWWDLWLWLD

League goals

Metric Lenense Mosconia
HATHAT
GF total841215520
GF avg1.30.60.92.10.81.5
GA total1111225712
GA avg1.81.61.70.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLenenseMosconia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%100%77%69%
1.523%46%46%23%
2.50%15%15%0%
3.50%8%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLenenseMosconia
HATHAT
Clean sheets000314
Failed to score134033

Penalties

MetricLenenseMosconia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLenenseMosconia
Wins13
Draws31
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—5-01-2
Biggest losses1-43-01-22-1
Goals For2152
Goals Against4322

Model comparison

MetricLenenseMosconia
Form30%70%
Att33%67%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h40%60%
Goals40%60%
Total35.3%64.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mosconia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Superbet
Away1.78 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lenense = 1.12 (league 1.40), Mosconia = 1.25 (league 1.15)

Mosconia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lenense 0 9.4% 11.7% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.5% 13.1% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.9% 7.3% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.8% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 39.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1