Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 14:45 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.40) 1.87 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.8% 21.5% 38.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.3%
1 - 2
7.8%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Covadonga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Gijón II 0 2.4% 4.5% 4.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5%
1 4.5% 8.3% 7.8% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.8% 7.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.6% 4.8% 4.5% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting Gijón IICovadonga
Played55
Form53%100%
Attack100%100%
Defense56%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting Gijón II Covadonga
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%29%36%86%71%79%
Draws43%57%50%14%14%14%
Loses14%14%14%0%14%7%

Form: Sporting Gijón II: DWDDLDDWWWDDLW • Covadonga: DWDWWWWWLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Sporting Gijón II Covadonga
HATHAT
GF total181129131730
GF avg2.61.62.11.92.42.1
GA total68143710
GA avg0.91.11.00.41.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting Gijón IICovadonga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%100%57%
1.550%36%57%14%
2.521%7%43%0%
3.521%0%14%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting Gijón IICovadonga
HATHAT
Clean sheets426426
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricSporting Gijón IICovadonga
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSporting Gijón IICovadonga
Wins35
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-01-43-00-4
Biggest losses1-23-22-1
Goals For7434
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricSporting Gijón IICovadonga
Form35%65%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Covadonga

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.08 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Superbet
No1.75 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sporting Gijón II = 1.86 (league 1.40), Covadonga = 1.87 (league 1.15)

Covadonga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Gijón II 0 2.4% 4.5% 4.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5%
1 4.5% 8.3% 7.8% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.8% 7.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.6% 4.8% 4.5% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.8% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 38.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1