Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 16:00 • Estadio El Bayu
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.41) 1.01 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.7% 26.1% 25.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
12.2%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Caudal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Siero 0 8.2% 8.3% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.2% 12.4% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.2% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.5% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSieroCaudal
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack64%71%
Defense100%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 07 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Siero Caudal
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%38%47%63%29%47%
Draws14%25%20%38%43%40%
Loses29%38%33%0%29%13%

Form: Siero: DLLDWLLWWLWDWWW • Caudal: DWWDWWWLDLDDWDW

League goals

Metric Siero Caudal
HATHAT
GF total1592420626
GF avg2.11.11.62.50.91.7
GA total9101912719
GA avg1.31.31.31.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSieroCaudal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%80%87%
1.560%40%67%33%
2.520%13%27%7%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSieroCaudal
HATHAT
Clean sheets246112
Failed to score033033

Penalties

MetricSieroCaudal
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSieroCaudal
Wins23
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-11-2
Biggest losses2-35-2—2-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3532

Model comparison

MetricSieroCaudal
Form59%41%
Att47%53%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Double chance : Siero or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Siero = 1.49 (league 1.41), Caudal = 1.01 (league 1.15)

Caudal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Siero 0 8.2% 8.3% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.2% 12.4% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.2% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.5% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.7% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 25.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1